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Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreño Busta: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 3 ATP · Cincinnati · Best of 3 · USA
Finished
A. Rublev
RU·ATP 14
28 yrs · 1.88 m · Right
Andrey Rublev
16 Aug 2026 · 20:25
2:0
76
61
1.43 2.85
P. Carreño
P. Carreño
ES·ATP 66
35 yrs · 1.88 m · Right
1.43 2.85
Best Tip
U29.5 1.27
4
Winner
A. Rublev 1.43
4
Total Games
U29.5 1.27
4
Total Games
19
Sets
2 – 0
Projected set score
64
63
A. Rublev Projected match stats P. Carreño
6Aces2
2Double Faults2
61.3%1st serve in %64%
73.8%Points won on 1st serve61.4%
63%Points won on 2nd serve52.7%
3Break points converted1
41.7%Points won on return30.4%
66Points won overall52
Fan vote · Who takes it?
89%A. Rublev
P. Carreño11%
8,697 votes
2
A. Rublev
leads in stats
P. Carreño
leads in stats
5
On serve
65.1%1st serve in %70.8%
9.8Aces5.2
4.4Double Faults2.2
Rallies and power
1.2Dominance ratio1.1
2.6Break points converted3.9
6.4Service breaks7.3
95.5Points won overall97
A. Rublev 50%
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
5–5
Win–loss
16–14
Sets won–lost
3
Straight-set W
P. Carreño 50%
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
5–5
Win–loss
19–13
Sets won–lost
4
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
5Wins5
5Losses5
0Upset wins2
4Upset losses3
3Straight-set wins4
1Straight-set losses0
16Sets taken19
14Sets dropped13
Andrey Rublev
5 – 0
Head-to-head record
P. Carreño
Most recent meetings
27 Sep 24 Hard
AR 2–1 PC
27 Jul 19 Clay
AR 2–1 PC
29 Dec 17 Hard
AR 2–0 PC
09 May 15 Clay
AR 2–1 PC
26 Mar 15 Hard
AR 2–1 PC
Last matches · A. Rublev LWWWL
L vsD. Medvedev 29 Sep 0 2 2.80 1.53
W vsK. Jacquet 28 Sep 2 0 1.37 3.40
W vsH. Gaston 27 Sep 2 1 1.20 4.50
W vsR. Hijikata 25 Sep 2 0 1.32 3.60
L vsD. Merida 02 Sep 1 3 1.67 2.32
W vsO. Virtanen 31 Aug 3 2 – –
L vsN. Borges 18 Aug 0 2 1.56 2.67
L vsJ. Shang 04 Aug 1 2 1.28 3.90
L vsL. Van Assche 24 Jul 1 2 1.22 5.00
W vsT. Skatov 23 Jul 2 0 1.07 10.50
Last matches · P. Carreño WWLLW
W vsA. Mannarino 29 Sep 2 0 1.56 2.47
W vsY. Zhou 28 Sep 2 0 1.30 3.45
L vsJ. Lehečka 30 Aug 1 3 4.60 1.22
L vsA. Vallejo 23 Aug 0 2 1.74 2.15
W vsT. Machac 14 Aug 2 0 1.94 1.98
L vsV. Royer 04 Aug 1 2 1.47 2.90
L vsL. Van Assche 23 Jul 1 2 1.46 2.90
W vsV. Gaubas 21 Jul 2 0 1.41 3.15
L vsC. Ugo Carabelli 15 Jul 1 2 1.68 2.35
W vsM. Dodig 14 Jul 2 0 – –