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Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 3 WTA · Toronto · Best of 3 · Canada
Finished
A. Sabalenka
BY·WTA 1
28 yrs · 1.82 m · Right
Aryna Sabalenka
9 Aug 2026 · 00:00
1:2
67
64
46
1.18 5.7
E. Alexandrova
E. Alexandrova
RU·WTA 19
31 yrs · 1.75 m · Right
1.18 5.7
Best Tip
A. Sabalenka 1.18
10
Winner
A. Sabalenka 1.18
10
Total Games
O16.5 1.16
1
Total Games
19
Sets
2 – 0
Projected set score
63
64
A. Sabalenka Projected match stats E. Alexandrova
6Aces2
2Double Faults4
67.9%1st serve in %63.9%
71.7%Points won on 1st serve59.3%
59.7%Points won on 2nd serve49.1%
3Break points converted1
44.4%Points won on return32.2%
67Points won overall53
Fan vote · Who takes it?
88%A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova12%
7,677 votes
5
A. Sabalenka
leads in stats
E. Alexandrova
leads in stats
2
On serve
72.8%1st serve in %66.5%
5.8Aces4.6
3.2Double Faults4.3
Rallies and power
1.1Dominance ratio1
3.3Break points converted3.5
7.9Service breaks7
75Points won overall77.2
A. Sabalenka 70%
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
7–3
Win–loss
16–7
Sets won–lost
6
Straight-set W
E. Alexandrova 60%
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
6–4
Win–loss
13–10
Sets won–lost
4
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
7Wins6
3Losses4
0Upset wins2
3Upset losses1
6Straight-set wins4
1Straight-set losses3
16Sets taken13
7Sets dropped10
Aryna Sabalenka
5 – 5
Head-to-head record
E. Alexandrova
Most recent meetings
17 Jun 26 Grass
AS 2–0 EA
11 Feb 25 Hard
AS 1–2 EA
31 Aug 24 Hard
AS 2–1 EA
10 Jul 23 Grass
AS 2–0 EA
12 Jun 22 Grass
AS 0–2 EA
22 Oct 21 Hard
AS 0–2 EA
01 Feb 19 Hard
AS 2–0 EA
02 Jan 19 Hard
AS 2–0 EA
21 Jun 17 Hard
AS 0–0 EA
19 Mar 17 Court
AS 0–2 EA
Last matches · A. Sabalenka WLWWW
W vsR. Zarazua 02 Oct 2 0 1.03 14.00
L vsE. Rybakina 12 Sep 1 2 1.72 2.35
W vsJ. Pegula 10 Sep 2 0 1.60 2.70
W vsL. Noskova 08 Sep 2 1 1.43 3.30
W vsT. Townsend 06 Sep 2 0 1.18 5.30
W vsK. Rakhimova 04 Sep 2 0 1.05 11.50
W vsP. Iatcenko 02 Sep 2 0 1.03 17.00
W vsC. Osorio 31 Aug 2 0 1.05 14.00
L vsS. Bejlek 20 Aug 0 2 – –
W vsX. Wang 18 Aug 2 0 1.10 8.60
Last matches · E. Alexandrova WLWWL
W vsA. Sasnovich 02 Oct 2 0 1.62 2.33
L vsM. Kostyuk 04 Sep 0 2 3.90 1.33
W vsK. Birrell 02 Sep 2 1 1.25 4.20
W vsM. Kessler 30 Aug 2 0 1.67 2.27
L vsC. Tauson 27 Aug 1 2 2.05 1.90
L vsS. Bejlek 18 Aug 1 2 1.97 1.91
W vsA. Blinkova 16 Aug 2 1 1.32 3.40
L vsE. Svitolina 11 Aug 1 2 3.25 1.42
W vsT. Gibson 06 Aug 2 1 1.82 2.02
W vsC. Osorio 04 Aug 2 0 2.02 1.84