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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 3 WTA · US Open · Best of 3 · New York
Finished
A. Sabalenka
BY·WTA 1
28 yrs · 1.82 m · Right
Aryna Sabalenka
12 Sep 2026 · 21:15
1:2
46
75
26
1.72 2.35
Elena Rybakina
E. Rybakina
KZ·WTA 2
27 yrs · 1.84 m · Right
1.72 2.35
Best Tip
U30.5 1.28
6
Winner
A. Sabalenka 1.72
3
Total Games
U30.5 1.28
6
Total Games
23
Sets
2 – 0
Projected set score
76
64
A. Sabalenka Projected match stats E. Rybakina
8Aces6
3Double Faults3
66.6%1st serve in %59.3%
73%Points won on 1st serve71.1%
50.6%Points won on 2nd serve47.3%
3Break points converted1
38.6%Points won on return34.5%
78Points won overall71
Fan vote · Who takes it?
58%A. Sabalenka
E. Rybakina42%
26,818 votes
6
A. Sabalenka
leads in stats
E. Rybakina
leads in stats
0
On serve
63.2%1st serve in %60.2%
6.2Aces6.1
2.9Double Faults2.9
Rallies and power
1.3Dominance ratio1.2
4.2Break points converted2.8
5Service breaks4.1
75.2Points won overall70.5
A. Sabalenka 80%
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
8–2
Win–loss
17–5
Sets won–lost
7
Straight-set W
E. Rybakina 90%
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
9–1
Win–loss
18–4
Sets won–lost
7
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
8Wins9
2Losses1
0Upset wins0
1Upset losses0
7Straight-set wins7
1Straight-set losses1
17Sets taken18
5Sets dropped4
Aryna Sabalenka
11 – 8
Head-to-head record
Elena Rybakina
Most recent meetings
27 Mar 26 Hard
AS 2–0 ER
15 Mar 26 Hard
AS 2–1 ER
31 Jan 26 Hard
AS 1–2 ER
08 Nov 25 Hard
AS 0–2 ER
10 Oct 25 Hard
AS 2–0 ER
15 Aug 25 Hard
AS 0–2 ER
20 Jun 25 Grass
AS 2–1 ER
06 Nov 24 Hard
AS 1–2 ER
02 May 24 Clay
AS 2–1 ER
07 Jan 24 Hard
AS 0–2 ER
Last matches · A. Sabalenka WWWWW
W vsJ. Pegula 10 Sep 2 0 1.60 2.70
W vsL. Noskova 08 Sep 2 1 1.43 3.30
W vsT. Townsend 06 Sep 2 0 1.18 5.30
W vsK. Rakhimova 04 Sep 2 0 1.05 11.50
W vsP. Iatcenko 02 Sep 2 0 1.03 17.00
W vsC. Osorio 31 Aug 2 0 1.05 14.00
L vsS. Bejlek 20 Aug 0 2 – –
W vsX. Wang 18 Aug 2 0 1.10 8.60
W vsT. Gibson 16 Aug 2 0 1.13 6.20
L vsE. Alexandrova 08 Aug 1 2 1.18 5.70
Last matches · E. Rybakina WWWWW
W vsC. Gauff 11 Sep 2 1 2.18 2.18
W vsQ. Zheng 09 Sep 2 1 1.33 3.60
W vsN. Osaka 07 Sep 2 0 1.80 2.26
W vsY. Starodubtseva 06 Sep 2 0 1.11 7.50
W vsJ. Bouzas Maneiro 04 Sep 2 0 1.16 5.80
W vsT. Frodin 01 Sep 2 0 1.03 14.50
W vsD. Shnaider 19 Aug 2 0 1.42 3.20
W vsM. Frech 17 Aug 2 0 1.15 6.00
W vsT. Townsend 16 Aug 2 0 1.30 3.80
L vsI. Swiatek 13 Aug 0 2 2.27 1.77