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Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka: BananaCore prediction

Clay · Best of 3 WTA · Madrid · Best of 3 · Spain
Finished
BY·WTA 1
27 yrs · 1.82 m · Right
Aryna Sabalenka
27 Apr 2026 · 12:00
2:1
67
63
62
1.14 6.5
Naomi Osaka
JP·WTA 15
27 yrs · 1.80 m · Right
1.14 6.5
Best Tip
A. Sabalenka 1.14
8
Winner
A. Sabalenka 1.14
8
Total Games
U25.5 1.27
6
Total Games
19
Sets
2 – 0
Projected set score
63
64
A. Sabalenka Projected match stats N. Osaka
5Aces4
2Double Faults3
72.3%1st serve in %69.2%
71.9%Points won on 1st serve59%
61%Points won on 2nd serve49.5%
3Break points converted1
43.9%Points won on return31.1%
68Points won overall53
Fan vote · Who takes it?
86%A. Sabalenka
N. Osaka14%
6,885 votes

Today's matches are on the tennis predictions board.

2
A. Sabalenka
leads in stats
N. Osaka
leads in stats
5
On serve
68.1%1st serve in %69.6%
5.5Aces5.7
1.9Double Faults1.7
Rallies and power
1.2Dominance ratio1.1
3.5Break points converted3.6
4.6Service breaks6.1
74.9Points won overall72.2
A. Sabalenka 100%
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
10–0
Win–loss
20–2
Sets won–lost
8
Straight-set W
N. Osaka 70%
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
7–3
Win–loss
14–9
Sets won–lost
4
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
10Wins7
0Losses3
0Upset wins0
0Upset losses1
8Straight-set wins4
0Straight-set losses3
20Sets taken14
2Sets dropped9
Aryna Sabalenka
5 – 1
Head-to-head record
Naomi Osaka
Most recent meetings
01 Jun 26 Clay
AS 2–0 NO
27 Apr 26 Clay
AS 2–1 NO
10 Mar 26 Hard
AS 2–0 NO
09 Dec 25 Court
AS 2–0 NO
06 Dec 25 Court
AS 2–1 NO
03 Sep 18 Hard
AS 1–2 NO
Last matches · A. Sabalenka WLWWW
W vsR. Zarazua 02 Oct 2 0 1.03 14.00
L vsE. Rybakina 12 Sep 1 2 1.72 2.35
W vsJ. Pegula 10 Sep 2 0 1.60 2.70
W vsL. Noskova 08 Sep 2 1 1.43 3.30
W vsT. Townsend 06 Sep 2 0 1.18 5.30
W vsK. Rakhimova 04 Sep 2 0 1.05 11.50
W vsP. Iatcenko 02 Sep 2 0 1.03 17.00
W vsC. Osorio 31 Aug 2 0 1.05 14.00
L vsS. Bejlek 20 Aug 0 2 – –
W vsX. Wang 18 Aug 2 0 1.10 8.60
Last matches · N. Osaka WLWWW
W vsM. Timofeeva 02 Oct 2 1 1.23 4.40
L vsE. Rybakina 07 Sep 0 2 2.26 1.80
W vsE. Mertens 05 Sep 2 1 1.34 3.65
W vsK. Siniakova 03 Sep 2 1 1.28 4.55
W vsA. Zakharova 01 Sep 2 0 1.10 8.25
L vsE. Rybakina 11 Aug 1 2 1.97 1.97
W vsL. Fernandez 09 Aug 2 0 1.39 3.15
W vsE. Mertens 07 Aug 2 0 1.45 3.10
W vsP. Udvardy 05 Aug 2 0 1.07 9.00
L vsA. Eala 01 Aug 0 2 1.67 2.42