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Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 5 ATP · US Open · Best of 5 · New York
Finished
D. Medvedev
RU·ATP 7
30 yrs · 1.98 m · Right
Daniil Medvedev
30 Aug 2026 · 19:00
3:0
64
62
64
1.13 6.75
Hugo Gaston
H. Gaston
FR·ATP 97
25 yrs · 1.73 m · Left
1.13 6.75
Best Tip
D. Medvedev 1.13
5
Winner
D. Medvedev 1.13
5
Total Games
O26.5 1.36
8
Total Games
36
Sets
3 – 1
Projected set score
36
63
62
64
D. Medvedev Projected match stats H. Gaston
13Aces5
9Double Faults4
56.9%1st serve in %54.8%
71.1%Points won on 1st serve63.1%
59.3%Points won on 2nd serve51%
6Break points converted3
42.4%Points won on return34%
120Points won overall103
Fan vote · Who takes it?
87%D. Medvedev
H. Gaston13%
5,960 votes
3
D. Medvedev
leads in stats
H. Gaston
leads in stats
4
On serve
64.2%1st serve in %53.5%
9Aces1.6
5.8Double Faults2.2
Rallies and power
1.1Dominance ratio1.2
3Break points converted3.4
5.5Service breaks6.1
87.3Points won overall66.7
D. Medvedev 50%
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
5–5
Win–loss
14–12
Sets won–lost
4
Straight-set W
H. Gaston 60%
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
6–4
Win–loss
13–9
Sets won–lost
5
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
5Wins6
5Losses4
0Upset wins2
5Upset losses2
4Straight-set wins5
3Straight-set losses2
14Sets taken13
12Sets dropped9
Daniil Medvedev
1 – 0
Head-to-head record
Hugo Gaston
Most recent meetings
05 Nov 21 Hard
DM 2–0 HG
Last matches · D. Medvedev WWWWL
W vsA. Rublev 29 Sep 2 0 1.53 2.80
W vsR. Safiullin 28 Sep 2 0 1.43 2.95
W vsC. Wong 27 Sep 2 1 1.23 4.20
W vsV. Royer 26 Sep 2 0 1.26 4.30
L vsF. Tiafoe 06 Sep 0 3 1.67 2.52
W vsA. Rinderknech 04 Sep 3 0 1.35 3.35
W vsS. Gorzny 02 Sep 3 0 1.04 13.50
L vsM. Damm Jr 25 Aug 0 2 1.25 4.10
L vsB. Nakashima 18 Aug 1 2 1.77 2.30
W vsM. Trungelliti 16 Aug 2 0 1.17 5.50
Last matches · H. Gaston LWWWW
L vsA. Rublev 27 Sep 1 2 4.50 1.20
W vsJ. Faria 25 Sep 2 1 2.70 1.52
W vsS. Shimabukuro 24 Sep 2 0 1.78 2.15
W vsC. Smith 28 Aug 2 1 – –
W vsA. Ilagan 26 Aug 2 0 1.60 2.35
W vsG. I. Justo 25 Aug 2 0 1.12 6.00
L vsL. Van Assche 22 Aug 0 2 2.70 1.48
W vsJ. De Jong 21 Aug 2 0 2.39 1.62
W vsA. Popyrin 20 Aug 1 0 2.80 1.43
L vsN. Budkov Kjaer 12 Aug 1 2 1.86 2.12