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Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 3 WTA · US Open · Best of 3 · New York
Finished
N. Osaka
JP·WTA 13
28 yrs · 1.80 m · Right
Naomi Osaka
6 Sep 2026 · 00:10
2:1
63
36
75
1.34 3.65
Elise Mertens
E. Mertens
BE·WTA 20
30 yrs · 1.79 m · Right
1.34 3.65
Best Tip
N. Osaka 1.34
6
Winner
N. Osaka 1.34
6
Total Games
U27.5 1.3
5
Total Games
18
Sets
2 – 0
Projected set score
62
64
N. Osaka Projected match stats E. Mertens
7Aces3
2Double Faults5
65.4%1st serve in %63.4%
74.3%Points won on 1st serve60.6%
57%Points won on 2nd serve39%
4Break points converted1
47.3%Points won on return31.7%
66Points won overall49
Fan vote · Who takes it?
86%N. Osaka
E. Mertens14%
7,073 votes
5
N. Osaka
leads in stats
E. Mertens
leads in stats
2
On serve
62.5%1st serve in %63%
7.9Aces4.7
3.5Double Faults5.1
Rallies and power
1.2Dominance ratio1
3.4Break points converted3.2
5.7Service breaks6.7
75.6Points won overall74
N. Osaka 70%
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
7–3
Win–loss
15–8
Sets won–lost
5
Straight-set W
E. Mertens 60%
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
6–4
Win–loss
14–11
Sets won–lost
3
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
7Wins6
3Losses4
1Upset wins0
2Upset losses1
5Straight-set wins3
2Straight-set losses2
15Sets taken14
8Sets dropped11
Naomi Osaka
6 – 4
Head-to-head record
Elise Mertens
Most recent meetings
07 Aug 26 Hard
NO 2–0 EM
23 Jun 26 Grass
NO 2–0 EM
09 Aug 24 Hard
NO 0–2 EM
11 Jun 24 Grass
NO 2–0 EM
11 Mar 24 Hard
NO 0–2 EM
29 Mar 21 Hard
NO 2–0 EM
06 Feb 21 Hard
NO 0–0 EM
28 Aug 20 Hard
NO 2–0 EM
21 Sep 19 Hard
NO 2–0 EM
25 Sep 17 Hard
NO 1–2 EM
Last matches · N. Osaka LWWLW
L vsE. Rybakina 07 Sep 0 2 2.26 1.80
W vsK. Siniakova 03 Sep 2 1 1.28 4.55
W vsA. Zakharova 01 Sep 2 0 1.10 8.25
L vsE. Rybakina 11 Aug 1 2 1.97 1.97
W vsL. Fernandez 09 Aug 2 0 1.39 3.15
W vsE. Mertens 07 Aug 2 0 1.45 3.10
W vsP. Udvardy 05 Aug 2 0 1.07 9.00
L vsA. Eala 01 Aug 0 2 1.67 2.42
W vsE. Cocciaretto 31 Jul 2 1 1.19 5.60
L vsK. Muchova 07 Jul 0 2 1.75 2.26
Last matches · E. Mertens WLWWL
W vsE. Mertens 07 Aug 2 0 1.45 3.10
L vsM. Chwalinska 25 Sep 0 2 1.51 2.85
W vsM. Timofeeva 03 Sep 2 0 1.33 3.65
W vsK. Quevedo 01 Sep 2 0 1.19 5.60
L vsD. Parry 29 Aug 1 2 – –
W vsN. Bartůňková 29 Aug 2 1 1.88 2.45
W vsY. Starodubtseva 28 Aug 2 0 – –
W vsP. Udvardy 26 Aug 2 1 1.23 4.30
L vsD. Parry 15 Aug 1 2 1.30 3.65
L vsN. Osaka 07 Aug 0 2 3.10 1.45