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Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 3 WTA · US Open · Best of 3 · New York
Finished
T. Maria
DE·WTA 79
39 yrs · 1.72 m · Right
Tatjana Maria
1 Sep 2026 · 23:00
2:1
46
61
62
2.27 1.67
Jelena Ostapenko
J. Ostapenko
LV·WTA 31
29 yrs · 1.77 m · Right
2.27 1.67
Best Tip
U28.5 1.24
5
Winner
J. Ostapenko 1.67
5
Total Games
U28.5 1.24
5
Total Games
19
Sets
0 – 2
Projected set score
46
36
T. Maria Projected match stats J. Ostapenko
3Aces4
3Double Faults7
63.8%1st serve in %57.5%
57%Points won on 1st serve70%
45.5%Points won on 2nd serve51.4%
2Break points converted4
37.9%Points won on return47.2%
58Points won overall70
Fan vote · Who takes it?
23%T. Maria
J. Ostapenko77%
4,539 votes
4
T. Maria
leads in stats
J. Ostapenko
leads in stats
3
On serve
63.4%1st serve in %61.8%
3.7Aces4.8
2.7Double Faults6.9
Rallies and power
1.4Dominance ratio1.2
4.5Break points converted3.8
6.3Service breaks7
64.2Points won overall64.4
T. Maria 70%
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
7–3
Win–loss
15–6
Sets won–lost
7
Straight-set W
J. Ostapenko 60%
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
6–4
Win–loss
13–10
Sets won–lost
4
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
7Wins6
3Losses4
1Upset wins0
1Upset losses2
7Straight-set wins4
2Straight-set losses3
15Sets taken13
6Sets dropped10
Tatjana Maria
2 – 0
Head-to-head record
Jelena Ostapenko
Most recent meetings
26 Jun 26 Grass
TM 1–0 JO
03 Jul 22 Grass
TM 2–1 JO
Last matches · T. Maria WWLLL
W vsL. Ma 01 Oct 2 0 1.15 5.25
W vsL. Perez Alarcon 30 Sep 2 0 1.17 4.70
L vsT. Townsend 14 Sep 1 2 3.50 1.38
L vsN. Bartůňková 03 Sep 1 2 3.05 1.41
L vsD. Shnaider 15 Aug 0 2 4.00 1.26
W vsD. Yastremska 13 Aug 2 0 1.78 2.07
L vsC. McNally 04 Aug 1 2 2.38 1.63
W vsI. Marton 01 Aug 2 0 1.03 23.00
L vsR. Zarazua 29 Jul 0 2 1.60 2.40
W vsT. Gibson 27 Jul 2 0 2.35 1.65
Last matches · J. Ostapenko LWLLW
L vsT. Preston 24 Sep 0 2 1.35 3.35
W vsA. Zakharova 22 Sep 2 0 1.67 2.25
L vsM. Frech 15 Aug 0 2 1.87 1.98
L vsA. Sabalenka 03 Jul 0 2 3.85 1.28
W vsA. Ružić 01 Jul 2 0 1.26 4.00
W vsH. Dart 29 Jun 2 1 1.29 3.95
W vsZ. Sonmez 25 Jun 2 0 1.50 2.75
W vsP. Udvardy 24 Jun 2 1 1.21 4.60
W vsF. Jones 22 Jun 2 0 1.30 3.80
L vsM. Linette 27 May 1 2 1.28 3.95