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Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 5 ATP · US Open · Best of 5 · New York
Finished
T. Paul
US·ATP 21
29 yrs · 1.85 m · Right
Tommy Paul
6 Sep 2026 · 19:00
0:3
46
36
46
4.85 1.24
Carlos Alcaraz
C. Alcaraz
ES·ATP 3
23 yrs · 1.83 m · Right
4.85 1.24
Best Tip
C. Alcaraz 1.24
10
Winner
C. Alcaraz 1.24
10
Total Games
O29.5 1.28
8
Total Games
32
Sets
0 – 3
Projected set score
46
67
36
T. Paul Projected match stats C. Alcaraz
8Aces6
2Double Faults4
62.8%1st serve in %69.8%
68.6%Points won on 1st serve74.6%
50.5%Points won on 2nd serve59.4%
1Break points converted4
30%Points won on return38.2%
93Points won overall110
Fan vote · Who takes it?
17%T. Paul
C. Alcaraz83%
17,680 votes
4
T. Paul
leads in stats
C. Alcaraz
leads in stats
3
On serve
62.1%1st serve in %67.9%
7.6Aces3.3
2.5Double Faults3.4
Rallies and power
1Dominance ratio1.2
3.4Break points converted4.4
7.3Service breaks4.7
99Points won overall85.1
T. Paul 70%
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
7–3
Win–loss
18–13
Sets won–lost
1
Straight-set W
C. Alcaraz 80%
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
8–2
Win–loss
20–6
Sets won–lost
6
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
7Wins8
3Losses2
1Upset wins0
3Upset losses2
1Straight-set wins6
2Straight-set losses1
18Sets taken20
13Sets dropped6
Tommy Paul
3 – 6
Head-to-head record
Carlos Alcaraz
Most recent meetings
25 Jan 26 Hard
TP 0–3 CA
03 Jun 25 Clay
TP 0–3 CA
01 Aug 24 Clay
TP 0–2 CA
09 Jul 24 Grass
TP 1–3 CA
17 Aug 23 Hard
TP 1–2 CA
11 Aug 23 Hard
TP 2–1 CA
28 Mar 23 Hard
TP 0–2 CA
10 Aug 22 Hard
TP 2–1 CA
29 Jun 21 Grass
TP 0–0 CA
Last matches · T. Paul LWWWL
L vsA. Tabilo 30 Sep 0 2 1.36 3.20
W vsA. Bublik 04 Sep 3 2 1.58 2.49
W vsD. Prižmić 02 Sep 3 1 1.19 5.30
W vsC. Wong 30 Aug 3 1 1.17 5.50
L vsF. Cobolli 20 Aug 1 2 1.63 2.40
W vsA. Zverev 19 Aug 2 1 3.30 1.37
W vsA. Vallejo 18 Aug 2 1 1.23 4.40
W vsH. Hurkacz 15 Aug 2 1 1.85 1.99
L vsL. Tien 08 Aug 0 2 1.59 2.50
W vsV. Royer 06 Aug 2 0 1.19 5.00
Last matches · C. Alcaraz WLWWW
W vsA. Michelsen 01 Oct 2 1 1.17 5.40
L vsB. Shelton 09 Sep 2 3 1.32 4.00
W vsY. Wu 04 Sep 3 0 1.06 13.00
W vsJ. Faria 03 Sep 3 1 1.09 9.20
W vsR. Safiullin 31 Aug 3 0 1.23 4.90
W vsO. Virtanen 14 Apr 2 0 1.02 23.00
L vsJ. Sinner 12 Apr 0 2 2.00 2.05
W vsV. Vacherot 11 Apr 2 0 1.07 10.00
W vsA. Bublik 10 Apr 2 0 1.07 9.90
W vsT. Etcheverry 09 Apr 2 1 1.04 16.00