Challenger · Hard
Challenger Cancun 2026: Predictions
This page follows Challenger Cancun match by match. Each prediction weighs recent form, head-to-head meetings and results on the surface, and the best tips here have landed more than 67.7% of the time.
31
Picks
0
Still to play
67.7%
Hit rate
Names to follow
SB
Challenger
S. Báez
RB
Challenger
R. Burruchaga
HH
Challenger
H. Hurkacz
VK
Challenger
V. Kopřiva
CU
Challenger
C. Ugo
RS
Challenger
R. Safiullin
CW
Challenger
C. Wong
FC
Challenger
F. Comesaña
DS
Challenger
D. Svrčina
SO
Challenger
S. Ofner
SW
Challenger
S. Wawrinka
HR
Challenger
H. Rocha
PR
Challenger
P. Llamas Ruiz
NM
Challenger
N. Mejia
AM
Challenger
A. Muller
TV
Challenger
T. Barrios Vera
TS
Challenger
T. Skatov
GO
Challenger
G. Onclin
LH
Challenger
L. Harris
DJ
Challenger
D. Jorda
ME
Challenger
M. Echargui
LP
Challenger
L. Pavlović
LD
Challenger
L. Djere
RN
Challenger
R. Noguchi
MK
Challenger
M. Kouamé
AC
Challenger
A. Moro Canas
DB
Challenger
D. Blanch
FB
Challenger
F. Balshaw
AS
Challenger
A. Shelbayh
RP
Challenger
R. Pacheco
DB
Challenger
D. Blanch
AM
Challenger
A. Magadan
FM
Challenger
F. Meligeni
SH
Challenger
S. Heredia
LA
Challenger
L. Alvarez
Challenger
S. Báez
RB
Challenger
R. Burruchaga
HH
Challenger
H. Hurkacz
VK
Challenger
V. Kopřiva
CU
Challenger
C. Ugo
RS
Challenger
R. Safiullin
CW
Challenger
C. Wong
FC
Challenger
F. Comesaña
DS
Challenger
D. Svrčina
SO
Challenger
S. Ofner
SW
Challenger
S. Wawrinka
HR
Challenger
H. Rocha
PR
Challenger
P. Llamas Ruiz
NM
Challenger
N. Mejia
AM
Challenger
A. Muller
TV
Challenger
T. Barrios Vera
TS
Challenger
T. Skatov
GO
Challenger
G. Onclin
LH
Challenger
L. Harris
DJ
Challenger
D. Jorda
ME
Challenger
M. Echargui
LP
Challenger
L. Pavlović
LD
Challenger
L. Djere
RN
Challenger
R. Noguchi
MK
Challenger
M. Kouamé
AC
Challenger
A. Moro Canas
DB
Challenger
D. Blanch
FB
Challenger
F. Balshaw
AS
Challenger
A. Shelbayh
RP
Challenger
R. Pacheco
DB
Challenger
D. Blanch
AM
Challenger
A. Magadan
FM
Challenger
F. Meligeni
SH
Challenger
S. Heredia
LA
Challenger
L. Alvarez
The tournament in numbers
67.7%
BananaCore hit rate
77%
Won in straight sets
23%
Went to a decider
32%
Matches with a tiebreak
2.2
Average sets per match
Round by round
Semi-Finals 2
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: H. Hurkacz against M. Echargui, 00:00, Finished. Winner odds: H. Hurkacz 1.11, M. Echargui 7.5. Predicted winner: H. Hurkacz, priced at 1.11, trust score 7.9 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 2-6, 6-3, 6-3. Our best tip: H. Hurkacz, priced at 1.11, trust score 7.9 of 10. Graded a hit.
H. Hurkacz
(3)
M. Echargui
(A)
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: S. Báez against L. Harris, 02:30, Finished. Winner odds: S. Báez 2.12, L. Harris 1.7. Predicted winner: S. Báez, priced at 2.12, trust score 1.4 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 6-3, 6-3. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.32, trust score 3.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
S. Báez
(1)
L. Harris
(Q)
00:00
Finished
0000
H. Hurkacz
(3)
M. Echargui
(A) 2
0
▴1.11
▾7.5
1
▴1.11
266363
1
▴1.11
7.9
02:30
Finished
0230
S. Báez
(1)
L. Harris
(Q) 2
0
▾2.12
▴1.7
1
▾2.12
466363
O19.5
▾1.32
3.5
Quarter-Finals 3
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: V. Kopřiva against L. Harris, 00:35, Finished. Winner odds: V. Kopřiva 2.12, L. Harris 1.71. Predicted winner: V. Kopřiva, priced at 2.12, trust score 2.1 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.32, trust score 2.9 of 10. Graded a hit.
V. Kopřiva
(4)
L. Harris
(Q)
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: M. Echargui against M. Kouamé, 00:40, Finished. Winner odds: M. Echargui 2.75, M. Kouamé 1.43. Predicted winner: M. Kouamé, priced at 1.43, trust score 3.4 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 6-4, 2-6. Our best tip: M. Kouamé, priced at 1.43, trust score 3.4 of 10. Graded a miss.
M. Echargui
(A)
M. Kouamé
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: S. Báez against C. Wong, 04:20, Finished. Winner odds: S. Báez 1.56, C. Wong 2.5. Predicted winner: S. Báez, priced at 1.56, trust score 1.3 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 7-6. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.42, trust score 4.6 of 10. Graded a miss.
S. Báez
(1)
C. Wong
(6)
00:35
Finished
0035
V. Kopřiva
(4)
L. Harris
(Q) 0
2
▾2.12
▴1.71
1
▾2.12
366364
O19.5
▾1.32
2.9
00:40
Finished
0040
M. Echargui
(A)
M. Kouamé
2
1
▾2.75
▴1.43
2
▴1.43
366426
2
▴1.43
3.4
04:20
Finished
0420
S. Báez
(1)
C. Wong
(6) 2
0
▴1.56
▾2.5
1
▴1.56
6476
O19.5
▾1.42
4.6
Round of 16 8
21 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: R. Safiullin against S. Wawrinka, 00:45, Finished. Winner odds: R. Safiullin 1.43, S. Wawrinka 2.85. Predicted winner: S. Wawrinka, priced at 2.85, trust score 1.0 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 4-6, 4-6. Our best tip: O20.5, priced at 1.43, trust score 3.1 of 10. Graded a miss. 00:45
Finished
0045
R. Safiullin
(7) 
S. Wawrinka
2
0
▴1.43
▴2.85
2
▴2.85
634646
O20.5
▾1.43
3.1
01:15
Finished
0115
C. Ugo
(5)
M. Echargui
(A) 0
2
▾1.85
▴1.98
1
▾1.85
7664
O19.5
1.44
3.2
02:20
Finished
0220
M. Kouamé
R. Burruchaga
(2) 2
0
▾2.4
▴1.6
1
▾2.4
366462
O19.5
▾1.47
2.9
02:20
Finished
0220
S. Báez
(1) 
R. Pacheco
(WC) 2
0
▴1.56
▾2.5
1
▴1.56
6364
1
▴1.56
8.9
20 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: H. Rocha against H. Hurkacz, 22:00, Finished. Winner odds: H. Rocha 4.6, H. Hurkacz 1.19. Predicted winner: H. Hurkacz, priced at 1.19, trust score 7.7 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 3-6. Our best tip: H. Hurkacz, priced at 1.19, trust score 7.7 of 10. Graded a hit. 22:00
Finished
2200
H. Rocha
H. Hurkacz
(3) 1
2
4.6
1.19
2
1.19
4636
2
1.19
7.7
22:00
Finished
2200
V. Kopřiva
(4) 
G. Onclin
(Q) 2
0
1.7
2.15
1
1.7
366462
O19.5
1.46
3.6
23:40
Finished
2340
L. Harris
(Q) 
P. Llamas Ruiz
(A) 2
0
▴1.48
▾2.55
2
▾2.55
266346
O19.5
▾1.43
3.0
23:45
Finished
2345
A. Magadan
(Q)
C. Wong
(6) 1
2
▴4.7
▾1.21
2
▾1.21
3646
2
▾1.21
3.5
3rd Round 9
20 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: C. Ugo against N. Mejia, 00:30, Finished. Winner odds: C. Ugo 1.85, N. Mejia 1.98. Predicted winner: N. Mejia, priced at 1.98, trust score 2.4 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-2, 3-6, 4-6. Our best tip: O20.5, priced at 1.56, trust score 2.6 of 10. Graded a hit. 00:30
Finished
0030
C. Ugo
N. Mejia
2
0
▾1.85
▴1.98
2
▴1.98
623646
O20.5
▴1.56
2.6
02:35
Finished
0235
D. Blanch
L. Harris
0
2
▴2.7
▾1.5
2
▾1.5
6736
2
▾1.5
5.1
02:35
Finished
0235
F. Meligeni
M. Kouamé
0
2
▾2.08
▴1.73
2
▴1.73
643636
O20.5
1.53
1.0
19 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: D. Svrčina against S. Wawrinka, 00:00, Finished. Winner odds: D. Svrčina 1.54, S. Wawrinka 2.6. Predicted winner: S. Wawrinka, priced at 2.6, trust score 2.1 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 3-6, 3-6. Our best tip: O20.5, priced at 1.6, trust score 2.3 of 10. Graded a hit. 00:00
Finished
0000
D. Svrčina
S. Wawrinka
0
2
▾1.54
▴2.6
2
▴2.6
643636
O20.5
1.6
2.3
03:00
Finished
0300
P. Llamas Ruiz
F. Comesaña
2
0
▴1.92
▾1.87
1
▴1.92
643663
O20.5
▴1.52
2.4
22:05
Finished
2205
A. Muller
C. Wong
0
2
▾2.87
▴1.41
2
▴1.41
3646
2
▴1.41
7.7
23:40
Finished
2340
R. Pacheco
T. Barrios Vera
2
0
▾1.52
▴2.52
1
▾1.52
643663
1
▾1.52
3.2
23:45
Finished
2345
G. Onclin
T. Skatov
(A) 2
1
▴1.49
▾2.55
1
▴1.49
466362
1
▴1.49
6.9
18 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico: R. Safiullin against S. Ofner, 22:00, Finished. Winner odds: R. Safiullin 1.65, S. Ofner 2.25. Predicted winner: R. Safiullin, priced at 1.65, trust score 4.6 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 3-6, 6-3. Our best tip: R. Safiullin, priced at 1.65, trust score 4.6 of 10. Graded a hit. 22:00
Finished
2200
R. Safiullin
S. Ofner
2
0
▴1.65
▾2.25
1
▴1.65
643663
1
▴1.65
4.6
Qualifying 8
19 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying: A. Magadan against R. Noguchi, 04:35, Finished. Winner odds: A. Magadan 2.1, R. Noguchi 1.66. Predicted winner: R. Noguchi, priced at 1.66, trust score 2.7 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 2-6, 4-6. Our best tip: R. Noguchi, priced at 1.66, trust score 2.7 of 10. Graded a miss. 04:35
Finished
0435
A. Magadan
(WC) 
R. Noguchi
(7) 2
0
▾2.1
▴1.66
2
▴1.66
632646
2
▴1.66
2.7
18 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying: S. Heredia against L. Djere, 01:05, Finished. Winner odds: S. Heredia 8.5, L. Djere 1.05. Predicted winner: L. Djere, priced at 1.05, trust score 3.5 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 6-4, 6-7. Our best tip: L. Djere, priced at 1.05, trust score 3.5 of 10. Graded a hit. 01:05
Finished
0105
S. Heredia
L. Djere
0
2
▴8.5
▾1.05
2
▾1.05
366467
2
▾1.05
3.5
01:50
Finished
0150
D. Jorda
A. Magadan
0
2
▾2.17
▴1.65
1
▾2.17
6476
O20.5
1.63
2.5
01:50
Finished
0150
F. Balshaw
A. Moro Canas
0
2
▾2.1
▴1.68
2
▴1.68
066116
2
▴1.68
1.0
02:50
Finished
0250
L. Harris
A. Shelbayh
2
0
▴1.51
▾2.48
1
▴1.51
6161
1
▴1.51
2.8
22:00
Finished
2200
D. Blanch
F. Meligeni
1
2
▴2.25
▾1.58
1
▴2.25
6376
1
▴2.25
1.8
22:00
Finished
2200
L. Alvarez
R. Noguchi
1
2
▴2.75
▾1.42
2
▾1.42
266436
2
▾1.42
3.0
17 Aug 2026
Challenger - Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying: F. Meligeni against L. Pavlović, 22:10, Finished. Winner odds: F. Meligeni 2.3, L. Pavlović 1.56. Predicted winner: L. Pavlović, priced at 1.56, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 2-6, 3-6. Our best tip: L. Pavlović, priced at 1.56, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a miss. 22:10
Finished
2210
F. Meligeni
L. Pavlović
2
0
▾2.3
▴1.56
2
▴1.56
752636
2
▴1.56
8.0
Hard
Every forecast here leans hardest on how players do on hard courts.
35
Main draw
Best of three sets
Format
Challenger Cancun 2026 in numbers
Purse: 35,000 USD. Our best tips here: 67% correct from 31 settled matches.
S. Báez, world No. 53, headed a field of 35 players from 22 countries. H. Hurkacz needed a final set to beat S. Báez in the title match. Biggest surprise: F. Meligeni (then No. 717) beating world No. 208 L. Pavlović.
No match went longer than D. Blanch vs F. Meligeni, at 34 games. Surprises were frequent: 8 of 30 matches between ranked opponents went to the lower-ranked player.
Common questions
Is Challenger Cancun a clay, grass or hard-court event?
+
Surface at Challenger Cancun: Hard. Since conditions change how points are won, the predictions here weigh each player's results on that surface above the overall record.
What is our hit rate at Challenger Cancun?
+
67.7% of our best tips at Challenger Cancun have come in, over 31 settled matches. The number updates after every result, so it moves as the event goes on.
What number of Challenger Cancun matches carry a prediction?
+
31 at Challenger Cancun so far, each with a winner pick, a predicted set score, a games line and the serve and break-point figures behind them.
What are the dates of Challenger Cancun?
+
Our records place Challenger Cancun between 17 Aug 2026 and 24 Aug 2026. Dates move a little from one year to the next, and predictions for the new edition appear as soon as its draw is published.
18+ · Forecasts made by AI, for information only · BananaPoint neither takes nor places bets