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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 3 ATP · Tokyo · Best of 3 · Japan
Finished
C. Alcaraz
ES·ATP 3
23 yrs · 1.83 m · Right
Carlos Alcaraz
1 Oct 2026 · 08:40
2:1
76
46
61
1.17 5.4
Alex Michelsen
A. Michelsen
US·ATP 34
22 yrs · 1.93 m · Right
1.17 5.4
Best Tip
C. Alcaraz 1.17
5
Winner
C. Alcaraz 1.17
5
Total Games
U27.5 1.26
3
Total Games
19
Sets
2 – 0
Projected set score
63
64
C. Alcaraz Projected match stats A. Michelsen
3Aces4
2Double Faults4
71.5%1st serve in %61.7%
75.2%Points won on 1st serve67.4%
54.9%Points won on 2nd serve42.3%
3Break points converted1
42.3%Points won on return30.6%
67Points won overall53
Fan vote · Who takes it?
95%C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen5%
10,791 votes
5
C. Alcaraz
leads in stats
A. Michelsen
leads in stats
2
On serve
74.3%1st serve in %66.6%
3.1Aces6.9
3.8Double Faults4.7
Rallies and power
1.2Dominance ratio1.2
4.4Break points converted3.6
6.1Service breaks6.6
95.1Points won overall93.3
C. Alcaraz 80%
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
8–2
Win–loss
22–7
Sets won–lost
6
Straight-set W
A. Michelsen 70%
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
7–3
Win–loss
21–8
Sets won–lost
6
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
8Wins7
2Losses3
0Upset wins1
2Upset losses1
6Straight-set wins6
1Straight-set losses1
22Sets taken21
7Sets dropped8
Last matches · C. Alcaraz LWWWW
L vsB. Shelton 09 Sep 2 3 1.32 4.00
W vsT. Paul 06 Sep 3 0 1.24 4.85
W vsY. Wu 04 Sep 3 0 1.06 13.00
W vsJ. Faria 03 Sep 3 1 1.09 9.20
W vsR. Safiullin 31 Aug 3 0 1.23 4.90
W vsO. Virtanen 14 Apr 2 0 1.02 23.00
L vsJ. Sinner 12 Apr 0 2 2.00 2.05
W vsV. Vacherot 11 Apr 2 0 1.07 10.00
W vsA. Bublik 10 Apr 2 0 1.07 9.90
W vsT. Etcheverry 09 Apr 2 1 1.04 16.00
Last matches · A. Michelsen LWWWW
L vsF. Tiafoe 08 Sep 2 3 2.35 1.71
W vsT. Etcheverry 06 Sep 3 0 1.35 3.50
W vsD. Merida 04 Sep 3 0 1.56 2.67
W vsB. Nakashima 02 Sep 3 0 3.00 1.47
W vsF. Cinà 31 Aug 3 0 1.21 5.20
L vsT. Fritz 16 Aug 0 2 2.42 1.58
W vsJ. De Jong 14 Aug 2 0 1.19 4.80
L vsD. Merida 07 Aug 1 2 1.37 3.25
W vsF. Cerundolo 05 Aug 2 0 1.65 2.45
W vsJ. Struff 04 Aug 2 1 1.33 3.75