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Matteo Arnaldi vs Rei Sakamoto: BananaCore prediction

Hard · Best of 3 ATP · Tokyo · Best of 3 · Japan
Finished
M. Arnaldi
IT·ATP 37
25 yrs · 1.85 m · Right
Matteo Arnaldi
30 Sep 2026 · 09:50
2:1
26
64
64
2.18 1.7
Rei Sakamoto
R. Sakamoto
JP·ATP 133
20 yrs · 1.93 m · Right
2.18 1.7
Best Tip
U29.5 1.29
5
Winner
R. Sakamoto 1.7
4
Total Games
U29.5 1.29
5
Total Games
27
Sets
1 – 2
Projected set score
64
36
26
M. Arnaldi Projected match stats R. Sakamoto
6Aces12
4Double Faults2
57.4%1st serve in %65.9%
71.2%Points won on 1st serve74.5%
45.9%Points won on 2nd serve52%
1Break points converted3
33.2%Points won on return39.6%
79Points won overall89
Fan vote · Who takes it?
66%M. Arnaldi
R. Sakamoto34%
6,199 votes
3
M. Arnaldi
leads in stats
R. Sakamoto
leads in stats
4
On serve
59.1%1st serve in %63.6%
7.1Aces12.8
4.6Double Faults2.9
Rallies and power
1Dominance ratio1.1
3.1Break points converted2.6
9.7Service breaks4.1
94.7Points won overall84.9
M. Arnaldi 40%
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
4–6
Win–loss
13–17
Sets won–lost
1
Straight-set W
R. Sakamoto 60%
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
6–4
Win–loss
14–12
Sets won–lost
4
Straight-set W
Last 10 matches, side by side
4Wins6
6Losses4
2Upset wins0
3Upset losses2
1Straight-set wins4
1Straight-set losses3
13Sets taken14
17Sets dropped12
Matteo Arnaldi
1 – 0
Head-to-head record
Rei Sakamoto
Most recent meetings
02 Oct 25 Hard
MA 2–0 RS
Last matches · M. Arnaldi LLLWL
L vsJ. Duckworth 31 Aug 1 3 1.60 2.47
L vsM. Landaluce 15 Aug 1 2 2.15 1.75
L vsT. Griekspoor 07 Aug 1 2 2.65 1.50
W vsF. Marozsán 05 Aug 2 1 2.25 1.69
L vsD. Džumhur 16 Jul 1 2 1.46 2.75
W vsF. Gomez 15 Jul 2 1 1.28 3.85
L vsQ. Halys 30 Jun 1 3 2.21 1.75
L vsG. Hussey 23 Jun 0 2 1.28 3.80
W vsT. Samuel 21 Jun 2 1 2.02 1.81
W vsA. Gray 20 Jun 2 0 1.45 3.05
Last matches · R. Sakamoto WLLWW
W vsA. Shepp 19 Sep 2 0 1.14 5.20
L vsJ. Nam 08 Sep 0 2 1.07 8.50
L vsF. Tiafoe 02 Sep 0 3 4.45 1.25
W vsA. Vukic 31 Aug 3 2 1.63 2.37
W vsK. Nishikori 28 Aug 2 0 1.64 2.35
W vsA. Muller 26 Aug 2 0 1.53 2.65
W vsJ. Clarke 24 Aug 2 1 – –
L vsL. Van Assche 20 Aug 1 2 2.45 1.58
W vsJ. Rodionov 18 Aug 2 0 1.75 2.12
L vsD. Milavsky 14 Aug 0 2 1.42 2.90