ATP · Hard
ATP Hong Kong 2026: Predictions
This page follows ATP Hong Kong match by match. Each prediction weighs recent form, head-to-head meetings and results on the surface, and the best tips here have landed more than 75.8% of the time.
33
Picks
0
Still to play
75.8%
Hit rate
Names to follow
LM
ATP
L. Musetti
AB
ATP
A. Bublik
AR
ATP
A. Rublev
KK
ATP
K. Khachanov
LS
ATP
L. Sonego
GD
ATP
G. Diallo
NB
ATP
N. Borges
FM
ATP
F. Marozsán
AM
ATP
A. Muller
VR
ATP
V. Royer
MK
ATP
M. Kecmanovic
MG
ATP
M. Giron
TE
ATP
T. Etcheverry
DD
ATP
D. Džumhur
FC
ATP
F. Comesaña
AM
ATP
A. Mannarino
MČ
ATP
M. Čilić
JJ
ATP
J. De Jong
BD
ATP
B. Van de
CG
ATP
C. Garin
AT
ATP
A. Tabilo
JS
ATP
J. Struff
LD
ATP
L. Djere
PK
ATP
P. Kypson
YB
ATP
Y. Bu
CW
ATP
C. Wong
FM
ATP
F. Maestrelli
LA
ATP
L. Van Assche
VS
ATP
V. Sachko
YW
ATP
Y. Wu
ZP
ATP
Z. Piros
EY
ATP
E. Ymer
RS
ATP
R. Sakamoto
YZ
ATP
Y. Zhou
NB
ATP
N. Basavareddy
MM
ATP
M. Mmoh
JS
ATP
J. Shang
ATP
L. Musetti
AB
ATP
A. Bublik
AR
ATP
A. Rublev
KK
ATP
K. Khachanov
LS
ATP
L. Sonego
GD
ATP
G. Diallo
NB
ATP
N. Borges
FM
ATP
F. Marozsán
AM
ATP
A. Muller
VR
ATP
V. Royer
MK
ATP
M. Kecmanovic
MG
ATP
M. Giron
TE
ATP
T. Etcheverry
DD
ATP
D. Džumhur
FC
ATP
F. Comesaña
AM
ATP
A. Mannarino
MČ
ATP
M. Čilić
JJ
ATP
J. De Jong
BD
ATP
B. Van de
CG
ATP
C. Garin
AT
ATP
A. Tabilo
JS
ATP
J. Struff
LD
ATP
L. Djere
PK
ATP
P. Kypson
YB
ATP
Y. Bu
CW
ATP
C. Wong
FM
ATP
F. Maestrelli
LA
ATP
L. Van Assche
VS
ATP
V. Sachko
YW
ATP
Y. Wu
ZP
ATP
Z. Piros
EY
ATP
E. Ymer
RS
ATP
R. Sakamoto
YZ
ATP
Y. Zhou
NB
ATP
N. Basavareddy
MM
ATP
M. Mmoh
JS
ATP
J. Shang
The tournament in numbers
75.8%
BananaCore hit rate
76%
Won in straight sets
24%
Went to a decider
39%
Matches with a tiebreak
2.2
Average sets per match
Round by round
ATP Hong Kong (Hard) - 10 Jan 2026 2
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: L. Musetti against A. Rublev, 07:30, Finished. Winner odds: L. Musetti 1.85, A. Rublev 2. Predicted winner: L. Musetti, priced at 1.85, trust score 2.6 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 6-3. Our best tip: U30.5, priced at 1.28, trust score 8.7 of 10. Graded a miss.
L. Musetti
(1)
A. Rublev
(3)
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: M. Giron against A. Bublik, 10:35, Finished. Winner odds: M. Giron 3.55, A. Bublik 1.33. Predicted winner: A. Bublik, priced at 1.33, trust score 7.7 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 4-6. Our best tip: U29.5, priced at 1.26, trust score 8.6 of 10. Graded a hit.
M. Giron
A. Bublik
(2)
07:30
Finished
0730
L. Musetti
(1)
A. Rublev
(3) 2
1
▾1.85
▴2
1
▾1.85
7563
U30.5
1.28
8.7
10:35
Finished
1035
M. Giron
A. Bublik
(2) 1
2
▴3.55
▾1.33
2
▾1.33
4646
U29.5
▾1.26
8.6
ATP Hong Kong (Hard) - 9 Jan 2026 3
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: L. Musetti against C. Wong, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: L. Musetti 1.28, C. Wong 4.2. Predicted winner: L. Musetti, priced at 1.28, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 6-4. Our best tip: U28.5, priced at 1.27, trust score 8.7 of 10. Graded a hit.
L. Musetti
(1)
C. Wong
(WC)
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: A. Rublev against N. Borges, 07:05, Finished. Winner odds: A. Rublev 1.49, N. Borges 2.75. Predicted winner: A. Rublev, priced at 1.49, trust score 7.2 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 6-3. Our best tip: U29.5, priced at 1.32, trust score 7.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
A. Rublev
(3)
N. Borges
(8)
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: J. Shang against A. Bublik, 10:00, Finished. Winner odds: J. Shang 2.42, A. Bublik 1.6. Predicted winner: A. Bublik, priced at 1.6, trust score 4.6 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 5-7. Our best tip: U30.5, priced at 1.3, trust score 8.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
J. Shang
(WC)
A. Bublik
(2)
05:30
Finished
0530
L. Musetti
(1)
C. Wong
(WC) 2
0
▴1.28
▾4.2
1
▴1.28
6464
U28.5
1.27
8.7
07:05
Finished
0705
A. Rublev
(3)
N. Borges
(8) 2
0
▴1.49
▾2.75
1
▴1.49
6363
U29.5
▴1.32
7.5
10:00
Finished
1000
J. Shang
(WC)
A. Bublik
(2) 0
2
▾2.42
▴1.6
2
▴1.6
3657
U30.5
▴1.3
8.5
ATP Hong Kong (Hard) - 8 Jan 2026 4
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: A. Muller against M. Giron, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: A. Muller 2.08, M. Giron 1.84. Predicted winner: M. Giron, priced at 1.84, trust score 3.0 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 4-6. Our best tip: U30.5, priced at 1.28, trust score 9.1 of 10. Graded a hit.
A. Muller
(7)
M. Giron
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: L. Sonego against J. Shang, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: L. Sonego 2.28, J. Shang 1.68. Predicted winner: L. Sonego, priced at 2.28, trust score 3.8 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 3-6, 7-5. Our best tip: O20.5, priced at 1.42, trust score 8.3 of 10. Graded a miss.
L. Sonego
(5)
J. Shang
(WC)
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: M. Mmoh against K. Khachanov, 07:10, Finished. Winner odds: M. Mmoh 3.4, K. Khachanov 1.34. Predicted winner: K. Khachanov, priced at 1.34, trust score 7.4 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 3-6. Our best tip: U28.5, priced at 1.33, trust score 9.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
M. Mmoh
(Q)
K. Khachanov
(4)
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: B. Van de against A. Bublik, 10:00, Finished. Winner odds: B. Van de 2.7, A. Bublik 1.52. Predicted winner: A. Bublik, priced at 1.52, trust score 10 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 4-6. Our best tip: A. Bublik, priced at 1.52, trust score 10 of 10. Graded a hit.
B. Van de
A. Bublik
(2)
05:30
Finished
0530
A. Muller
(7)
M. Giron
0
2
▾2.08
▴1.84
2
▴1.84
4646
U30.5
▴1.28
9.1
05:30
Finished
0530
L. Sonego
(5)
J. Shang
(WC) 0
2
▴2.28
▾1.68
1
▴2.28
633675
O20.5
▴1.42
8.3
07:10
Finished
0710
M. Mmoh
(Q)
K. Khachanov
(4) 2
0
▾3.4
▴1.34
2
▴1.34
4636
U28.5
▴1.33
9.5
10:00
Finished
1000
B. Van de
A. Bublik
(2) 0
2
▾2.7
▴1.52
2
▴1.52
4646
2
▴1.52
10
ATP Hong Kong (Hard) - 7 Jan 2026 4
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: L. Musetti against T. Etcheverry, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: L. Musetti 1.35, T. Etcheverry 3.45. Predicted winner: L. Musetti, priced at 1.35, trust score 8.9 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.39, trust score 9.9 of 10. Graded a hit.
L. Musetti
(1)
T. Etcheverry
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: M. Čilić against N. Borges, 07:10, Finished. Winner odds: M. Čilić 2, N. Borges 1.92. Predicted winner: M. Čilić, priced at 2, trust score 2.4 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 6-4. Our best tip: U29.5, priced at 1.34, trust score 8.8 of 10. Graded a hit.
M. Čilić
N. Borges
(8)
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: C. Wong against G. Diallo, 08:30, Finished. Winner odds: C. Wong 2.75, G. Diallo 1.52. Predicted winner: G. Diallo, priced at 1.52, trust score 7.6 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 5-7, 4-6. Our best tip: G. Diallo, priced at 1.52, trust score 7.6 of 10. Graded a miss.
C. Wong
(WC)
G. Diallo
(6)
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: A. Rublev against Y. Wu, 11:20, Finished. Winner odds: A. Rublev 1.55, Y. Wu 2.72. Predicted winner: A. Rublev, priced at 1.55, trust score 1.7 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-2, 6-4. Our best tip: U29.5, priced at 1.32, trust score 9.2 of 10. Graded a hit.
A. Rublev
(3)
Y. Wu
(WC)
05:30
Finished
0530
L. Musetti
(1)
T. Etcheverry
2
1
▴1.35
▾3.45
1
▴1.35
466464
O19.5
1.39
9.9
07:10
Finished
0710
M. Čilić
N. Borges
(8) 0
2
▾2
▴1.92
1
▾2
6464
U29.5
▴1.34
8.8
08:30
Finished
0830
C. Wong
(WC)
G. Diallo
(6) 2
1
▾2.75
▴1.52
2
▴1.52
5746
2
▴1.52
7.6
11:20
Finished
1120
A. Rublev
(3)
Y. Wu
(WC) 2
1
▴1.55
▴2.72
1
▴1.55
6264
U29.5
▴1.32
9.2
ATP Hong Kong (Hard) - 6 Jan 2026 8
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: A. Muller against M. Kecmanovic, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: A. Muller 2.32, M. Kecmanovic 1.65. Predicted winner: A. Muller, priced at 2.32, trust score 2.7 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 5-7, 6-3. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.37, trust score 7.2 of 10. Graded a hit.
A. Muller
M. Kecmanovic
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: L. Sonego against R. Sakamoto, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: L. Sonego 1.5, R. Sakamoto 2.72. Predicted winner: L. Sonego, priced at 1.5, trust score 4.7 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 6-4. Our best tip: U30.5, priced at 1.27, trust score 9.2 of 10. Graded a hit.
L. Sonego
R. Sakamoto
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: T. Etcheverry against V. Royer, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: T. Etcheverry 1.91, V. Royer 2.08. Predicted winner: T. Etcheverry, priced at 1.91, trust score 4.1 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 3-6, 7-6. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.27, trust score 8.6 of 10. Graded a hit.
T. Etcheverry
V. Royer
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: A. Tabilo against M. Mmoh, 07:35, Finished. Winner odds: A. Tabilo 1.65, M. Mmoh 2.47. Predicted winner: A. Tabilo, priced at 1.65, trust score 1.8 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-1, 3-6, 7-6. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.33, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit.
A. Tabilo
M. Mmoh
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: J. De Jong against G. Diallo, 07:35, Finished. Winner odds: J. De Jong 2.95, G. Diallo 1.44. Predicted winner: G. Diallo, priced at 1.44, trust score 6.1 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 5-7. Our best tip: U29.5, priced at 1.29, trust score 7.7 of 10. Graded a hit.
J. De Jong
G. Diallo
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: J. Struff against B. Van de, 09:35, Finished. Winner odds: J. Struff 1.75, B. Van de 2.22. Predicted winner: J. Struff, priced at 1.75, trust score 2.7 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 7-5. Our best tip: U29.5, priced at 1.32, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit.
J. Struff
B. Van de
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: L. Djere against M. Giron, 09:40, Finished. Winner odds: L. Djere 2.2, M. Giron 1.8. Predicted winner: M. Giron, priced at 1.8, trust score 2.3 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 7-5, 3-6. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.33, trust score 10 of 10. Graded a miss.
L. Djere
M. Giron
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: J. Shang against F. Comesaña, 10:00, Finished. Winner odds: J. Shang 1.5, F. Comesaña 2.75. Predicted winner: J. Shang, priced at 1.5, trust score 1.1 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-7, 7-5, 6-2. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.32, trust score 7.3 of 10. Graded a hit.
J. Shang
F. Comesaña
05:30
Finished
0530
A. Muller
M. Kecmanovic
2
0
▴2.32
▾1.65
1
▴2.32
755763
O19.5
▴1.37
7.2
05:30
Finished
0530
L. Sonego
R. Sakamoto
2
0
▴1.5
2.72
1
▴1.5
6464
U30.5
1.27
9.2
05:30
Finished
0530
T. Etcheverry
V. Royer
2
0
▴1.91
2.08
1
▴1.91
633676
O19.5
1.27
8.6
07:35
Finished
0735
A. Tabilo
M. Mmoh
0
2
▴1.65
▾2.47
1
▴1.65
613676
O19.5
▴1.33
8.0
07:35
Finished
0735
J. De Jong
G. Diallo
0
2
▴2.95
▾1.44
2
▾1.44
3657
U29.5
▴1.29
7.7
09:35
Finished
0935
J. Struff
B. Van de
1
2
▾1.75
▴2.22
1
▾1.75
6375
U29.5
1.32
8.0
09:40
Finished
0940
L. Djere
M. Giron
0
2
▾2.2
▴1.8
2
▴1.8
467536
O19.5
▾1.33
10
10:00
Finished
1000
J. Shang
F. Comesaña
2
0
▴1.5
▾2.75
1
▴1.5
677562
O19.5
▾1.32
7.3
ATP Hong Kong (Hard) - 5 Jan 2026 3
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: D. Džumhur against N. Borges, 05:30, Finished. Winner odds: D. Džumhur 2.95, N. Borges 1.49. Predicted winner: N. Borges, priced at 1.49, trust score 4.0 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 4-6. Our best tip: U29.5, priced at 1.29, trust score 9.1 of 10. Graded a hit.
D. Džumhur
N. Borges
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: M. Čilić against A. Mannarino, 07:05, Finished. Winner odds: M. Čilić 1.82, A. Mannarino 2.06. Predicted winner: M. Čilić, priced at 1.82, trust score 1.2 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-6, 6-4. Our best tip: U30.5, priced at 1.28, trust score 6.7 of 10. Graded a hit.
M. Čilić
A. Mannarino
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong: Y. Wu against F. Marozsán, 10:00, Finished. Winner odds: Y. Wu 2.34, F. Marozsán 1.73. Predicted winner: Y. Wu, priced at 2.34, trust score 3.4 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 2-6, 7-5, 7-6. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.37, trust score 9.2 of 10. Graded a miss.
Y. Wu
F. Marozsán
05:30
Finished
0530
D. Džumhur
N. Borges
0
2
▾2.95
▴1.49
2
▴1.49
3646
U29.5
▴1.29
9.1
07:05
Finished
0705
M. Čilić
A. Mannarino
2
0
▴1.82
▾2.06
1
▴1.82
7664
U30.5
▾1.28
6.7
10:00
Finished
1000
Y. Wu
F. Marozsán
2
0
▴2.34
▾1.73
1
▴2.34
267576
O19.5
▴1.37
9.2
Qualifying 8
5 Jan 2026
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Qualifying: J. Struff against N. Basavareddy, 05:10, Finished. Winner odds: J. Struff 2.1, N. Basavareddy 1.78. Predicted winner: N. Basavareddy, priced at 1.78, trust score 2.9 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-7, 3-6. Our best tip: N. Basavareddy, priced at 1.78, trust score 2.9 of 10. Graded a miss. 05:10
Finished
0510
J. Struff
N. Basavareddy
2
0
▴2.1
▾1.78
2
▾1.78
6736
2
▾1.78
2.9
4 Jan 2026
ATP - Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Qualifying: A. Tabilo against L. Van Assche, 04:00, Finished. Winner odds: A. Tabilo 1.56, L. Van Assche 2.43. Predicted winner: A. Tabilo, priced at 1.56, trust score 6.9 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 3-6, 6-4. Our best tip: A. Tabilo, priced at 1.56, trust score 6.9 of 10. Graded a hit. 04:00
Finished
0400
A. Tabilo
L. Van Assche
2
1
▴1.56
▾2.43
1
▴1.56
753664
1
▴1.56
6.9
04:00
Finished
0400
E. Ymer
L. Djere
0
2
▴2.8
▾1.45
2
▾1.45
643657
O19.5
▴1.35
8.9
04:00
Finished
0400
Y. Zhou
F. Maestrelli
2
0
▴1.7
▾2.2
2
▾2.2
676326
O19.5
▾1.25
8.0
05:25
Finished
0525
C. Garin
M. Mmoh
1
2
▴1.62
▾2.35
1
▴1.62
166375
1
▴1.62
7.8
06:10
Finished
0610
V. Sachko
P. Kypson
0
2
▴3.1
▾1.38
2
▾1.38
2657
U27.5
▾1.32
7.8
07:50
Finished
0750
J. Struff
Z. Piros
2
0
▾1.41
▴2.95
1
▾1.41
366364
O19.5
1.4
8.5
08:00
Finished
0800
N. Basavareddy
Y. Bu
2
0
▾1.72
▴2.2
2
▴2.2
4626
U29.5
▾1.33
10
In the title hunt
1ITL. Musetti25%
2KZA. Bublik12%
3RUA. Rublev8%
4RUK. Khachanov7%
5ITL. Sonego3%
6CAG. Diallo3%
Hard
Every forecast here leans hardest on how players do on hard courts.
37
Main draw
Best of three sets
Format
ATP Hong Kong 2026 in numbers
Best tips have done especially well here: 75% correct from 33 settled matches.
L. Musetti, world No. 5, headed a field of 37 players from 20 countries. Defending champion: Alexander Bublik. Biggest surprise: J. Shang (then No. 318) beating world No. 40 L. Sonego.
No match went longer than L. Musetti vs A. Rublev, at 35 games. Tiebreaks were everywhere, in 13 of the 33 finished matches (39%).
Common questions
Is ATP Hong Kong a clay, grass or hard-court event?
+
Surface at ATP Hong Kong: Hard. Since conditions change how points are won, the predictions here weigh each player's results on that surface above the overall record.
What is our hit rate at ATP Hong Kong?
+
75.8% of our best tips at ATP Hong Kong have come in, over 33 settled matches. The number updates after every result, so it moves as the event goes on.
What number of ATP Hong Kong matches carry a prediction?
+
33 at ATP Hong Kong so far, each with a winner pick, a predicted set score, a games line and the serve and break-point figures behind them.
What are the dates of ATP Hong Kong?
+
Our records place ATP Hong Kong between 4 Jan 2026 and 11 Jan 2026. Dates move a little from one year to the next, and predictions for the new edition appear as soon as its draw is published.
18+ · Forecasts made by AI, for information only · BananaPoint neither takes nor places bets