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ATP · Clay

ATP Rio de Janeiro 2026: Predictions

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil 14 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026 Best of three sets · 39 in the draw

This page follows ATP Rio de Janeiro match by match. Each prediction weighs recent form, head-to-head meetings and results on the surface, and the best tips here have landed more than 70.3% of the time.

37
Picks
0
Still to play
70.3%
Hit rate
Names to follow
The tournament in numbers
70.3%
BananaCore hit rate
62%
Won in straight sets
38%
Went to a decider
46%
Matches with a tiebreak
2.4
Average sets per match
Round by round
ATP Rio de Janeiro (Clay) - 22 Feb 2026 2
ATP Rio de Janeiro (Clay) - 21 Feb 2026 1
ATP Rio de Janeiro (Clay) - 20 Feb 2026 5
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: J. Fonseca against I. Buse, 00:30, Finished. Winner odds: J. Fonseca 1.26, I. Buse 4.3. Predicted winner: I. Buse, priced at 4.3, trust score 2.4 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 2-6, 6-2, 5-7. Our best tip: O17.5, priced at 1.25, trust score 8.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
00:30 Finished 0030
BR J. Fonseca (3)
PE I. Buse
1 2
▾1.26 ▴4.3
2 ▴4.3
266257
O17.5 ▾1.25
8.5
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: M. Berrettini against D. Lajovic, 01:00, Finished. Winner odds: M. Berrettini 1.39, D. Lajovic 3.25. Predicted winner: M. Berrettini, priced at 1.39, trust score 6.5 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 6-3. Our best tip: M. Berrettini, priced at 1.39, trust score 6.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
01:00 Finished 0100
IT M. Berrettini
RS D. Lajovic (LL)
2 1
▴1.39 ▾3.25
1 ▴1.39
7563
1 ▴1.39
6.5
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: V. Kopřiva against J. Cerundolo, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: V. Kopřiva 1.78, J. Cerundolo 2.17. Predicted winner: V. Kopřiva, priced at 1.78, trust score 1.2 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 6-4. Our best tip: U28.5, priced at 1.32, trust score 9.2 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:00 Finished 1900
CZ V. Kopřiva
AR J. Cerundolo
2 0
▴1.78 ▴2.17
1 ▴1.78
6364
U28.5 1.32
9.2
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: T. Etcheverry against J. Faria, 20:00, Finished. Winner odds: T. Etcheverry 1.33, J. Faria 3.5. Predicted winner: T. Etcheverry, priced at 1.33, trust score 8.1 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-6, 3-6, 6-4. Our best tip: O18.5, priced at 1.3, trust score 10 of 10. Graded a hit.
20:00 Finished 2000
AR T. Etcheverry (8)
PT J. Faria (LL)
2 0
▾1.33 3.5
1 ▾1.33
763664
O18.5 ▾1.3
10
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: I. Buse against M. Berrettini, 22:20, Finished. Winner odds: I. Buse 2.72, M. Berrettini 1.52. Predicted winner: M. Berrettini, priced at 1.52, trust score 3.2 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-7, 6-3, 2-6. Our best tip: O18.5, priced at 1.28, trust score 9.8 of 10. Graded a hit.
22:20 Finished 2220
PE I. Buse
IT M. Berrettini
2 1
▾2.72 ▴1.52
2 ▴1.52
676326
O18.5 ▾1.28
9.8
ATP Rio de Janeiro (Clay) - 19 Feb 2026 2
ATP Rio de Janeiro (Clay) - 18 Feb 2026 4
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: L. G. Miguel against V. Gaubas, 00:35, Finished. Winner odds: L. G. Miguel 7.3, V. Gaubas 1.14. Predicted winner: V. Gaubas, priced at 1.14, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 1-6, 6-2, 4-6. Our best tip: V. Gaubas, priced at 1.14, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit.
00:35 Finished 0035
BR L. G. Miguel (WC)
LT V. Gaubas
1 2
▴7.3 ▴1.14
2 ▴1.14
166246
2 ▴1.14
8.0
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: R. Burruchaga against V. Kopřiva, 19:30, Finished. Winner odds: R. Burruchaga 1.68, V. Kopřiva 2.24. Predicted winner: R. Burruchaga, priced at 1.68, trust score 2.9 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 6-3. Our best tip: U28.5, priced at 1.28, trust score 9.8 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:30 Finished 1930
AR R. Burruchaga
CZ V. Kopřiva
0 2
▾1.68 ▴2.24
1 ▾1.68
6463
U28.5 ▾1.28
9.8
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Y. Hanfmann against J. Cerundolo, 19:30, Finished. Winner odds: Y. Hanfmann 2.02, J. Cerundolo 1.85. Predicted winner: J. Cerundolo, priced at 1.85, trust score 1.2 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 4-6. Our best tip: U25.5, priced at 1.56, trust score 6.0 of 10. Graded a miss.
19:30 Finished 1930
DE Y. Hanfmann
AR J. Cerundolo
1 2
▴2.02 ▾1.85
2 ▾1.85
4646
U25.5 ▴1.56
6.0
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: A. Tabilo against F. Passaro, 23:30, Finished. Winner odds: A. Tabilo 1.55, F. Passaro 2.75. Predicted winner: A. Tabilo, priced at 1.55, trust score 3.4 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-2, 7-5. Our best tip: U28.5, priced at 1.3, trust score 6.3 of 10. Graded a miss.
23:30 Finished 2330
CL A. Tabilo
IT F. Passaro (LL)
2 1
1.55 2.75
1 1.55
6275
U28.5 ▴1.3
6.3
ATP Rio de Janeiro (Clay) - 17 Feb 2026 7
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Y. Hanfmann against J. Reis Da, 00:20, Finished. Winner odds: Y. Hanfmann 1.3, J. Reis Da 3.65. Predicted winner: Y. Hanfmann, priced at 1.3, trust score 9.5 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 6-3. Our best tip: Y. Hanfmann, priced at 1.3, trust score 9.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
00:20 Finished 0020
DE Y. Hanfmann
BR J. Reis Da
2 0
▴1.3 ▾3.65
1 ▴1.3
6463
1 ▴1.3
9.5
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: C. Ugo against R. Burruchaga, 19:30, Finished. Winner odds: C. Ugo 1.74, R. Burruchaga 2.22. Predicted winner: C. Ugo, priced at 1.74, trust score 5.0 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 6-4. Our best tip: U28.5, priced at 1.28, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:30 Finished 1930
AR C. Ugo
AR R. Burruchaga
0 2
▴1.74 ▾2.22
1 ▴1.74
6464
U28.5 1.28
8.0
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: T. Etcheverry against F. Comesaña, 19:30, Finished. Winner odds: T. Etcheverry 1.55, F. Comesaña 2.55. Predicted winner: T. Etcheverry, priced at 1.55, trust score 7.0 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-7, 6-3, 6-3. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.39, trust score 10 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:30 Finished 1930
AR T. Etcheverry
AR F. Comesaña
2 1
▾1.55 ▴2.55
1 ▾1.55
676363
O19.5 ▴1.39
10
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: J. Cerundolo against L. Darderi, 21:35, Finished. Winner odds: J. Cerundolo 3.3, L. Darderi 1.35. Predicted winner: L. Darderi, priced at 1.35, trust score 10 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 5-7, 2-6. Our best tip: L. Darderi, priced at 1.35, trust score 10 of 10. Graded a miss.
21:35 Finished 2135
AR J. Cerundolo
IT L. Darderi
2 1
▾3.3 ▴1.35
2 ▴1.35
5726
2 ▴1.35
10
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: F. Cerundolo against M. Navone, 22:25, Finished. Winner odds: F. Cerundolo 1.45, M. Navone 2.95. Predicted winner: F. Cerundolo, priced at 1.45, trust score 7.7 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-4, 4-6, 6-3. Our best tip: O17.5, priced at 1.24, trust score 9.7 of 10. Graded a hit.
22:25 Finished 2225
AR F. Cerundolo
AR M. Navone
2 0
▴1.45 ▾2.95
1 ▴1.45
644663
O17.5 ▾1.24
9.7
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: J. Fonseca against T. Monteiro, 22:30, Finished. Winner odds: J. Fonseca 1.33, T. Monteiro 3.5. Predicted winner: J. Fonseca, priced at 1.33, trust score 6.3 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 6-3. Our best tip: J. Fonseca, priced at 1.33, trust score 6.3 of 10. Graded a hit.
22:30 Finished 2230
BR J. Fonseca (3)
BR T. Monteiro
2 0
▴1.33 ▾3.5
1 ▴1.33
7563
1 ▴1.33
6.3
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: D. Džumhur against P. Martinez, 23:10, Finished. Winner odds: D. Džumhur 2.34, P. Martinez 1.65. Predicted winner: D. Džumhur, priced at 2.34, trust score 6.4 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-6, 3-6, 6-1. Our best tip: D. Džumhur, priced at 2.34, trust score 6.4 of 10. Graded a hit.
23:10 Finished 2310
BA D. Džumhur
ES P. Martinez
2 1
▴2.34 ▾1.65
1 ▴2.34
763661
1 ▴2.34
6.4
ATP Rio de Janeiro (Clay) - 16 Feb 2026 4
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: C. Garin against T. Tirante, 19:30, Finished. Winner odds: C. Garin 2, T. Tirante 2. Predicted winner: C. Garin, priced at 2, trust score 4.5 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 3-6, 7-5. Our best tip: O18.5, priced at 1.26, trust score 8.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:30 Finished 1930
CL C. Garin
AR T. Tirante
0 2
▴2 ▾2
1 ▴2
633675
O18.5 1.26
8.5
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: D. Lajovic against D. Altmaier, 21:00, Finished. Winner odds: D. Lajovic 2.1, D. Altmaier 1.78. Predicted winner: D. Altmaier, priced at 1.78, trust score 7.3 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 5-7, 2-6. Our best tip: D. Altmaier, priced at 1.78, trust score 7.3 of 10. Graded a miss.
21:00 Finished 2100
RS D. Lajovic
DE D. Altmaier (7)
2 0
▾2.1 ▴1.78
2 ▴1.78
5726
2 ▴1.78
7.3
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: A. Tabilo against E. Nava, 21:45, Finished. Winner odds: A. Tabilo 1.5, E. Nava 2.75. Predicted winner: A. Tabilo, priced at 1.5, trust score 1.3 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-6, 3-6, 6-1. Our best tip: O18.5, priced at 1.27, trust score 8.3 of 10. Graded a miss.
21:45 Finished 2145
CL A. Tabilo
US E. Nava
2 0
▴1.5 ▾2.75
1 ▴1.5
763661
O18.5 ▴1.27
8.3
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: G. Heide against V. Kopřiva, 22:00, Finished. Winner odds: G. Heide 2.25, V. Kopřiva 1.72. Predicted winner: V. Kopřiva, priced at 1.72, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 4-6. Our best tip: V. Kopřiva, priced at 1.72, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a hit.
22:00 Finished 2200
BR G. Heide
CZ V. Kopřiva
0 2
▴2.25 ▾1.72
2 ▾1.72
3646
2 ▾1.72
8.0
Qualifying 12
15 Feb 2026
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: F. Passaro against V. Gaubas, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: F. Passaro 1.65, V. Gaubas 2.25. Predicted winner: V. Gaubas, priced at 2.25, trust score 6.6 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 5-7. Our best tip: V. Gaubas, priced at 2.25, trust score 6.6 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:00 Finished 1900
IT F. Passaro
LT V. Gaubas (7)
0 2
▾1.65 ▴2.25
2 ▴2.25
3657
2 ▴2.25
6.6
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: I. Marcondes against J. Faria, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: I. Marcondes 2.75, J. Faria 1.49. Predicted winner: J. Faria, priced at 1.49, trust score 2.2 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 2-6, 5-7. Our best tip: J. Faria, priced at 1.49, trust score 2.2 of 10. Graded a miss.
19:00 Finished 1900
BR I. Marcondes (WC)
PT J. Faria
2 0
▾2.75 1.49
2 1.49
2657
2 1.49
2.2
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: T. Monteiro against D. Lajovic, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: T. Monteiro 1.87, D. Lajovic 2.02. Predicted winner: D. Lajovic, priced at 2.02, trust score 4.0 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 6-7. Our best tip: D. Lajovic, priced at 2.02, trust score 4.0 of 10. Graded a miss.
19:00 Finished 1900
BR T. Monteiro (WC)
RS D. Lajovic (6)
2 1
▾1.87 ▴2.02
2 ▴2.02
3667
2 ▴2.02
4.0
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: T. Barrios Vera against D. Prižmić, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: T. Barrios Vera 2.95, D. Prižmić 1.4. Predicted winner: D. Prižmić, priced at 1.4, trust score 5.4 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 3-6. Our best tip: D. Prižmić, priced at 1.4, trust score 5.4 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:00 Finished 1900
CL T. Barrios Vera (2)
HR D. Prižmić (5)
0 2
▴2.95 ▾1.4
2 ▾1.4
3636
2 ▾1.4
5.4
14 Feb 2026
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: A. Pellegrino against V. Gaubas, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: A. Pellegrino 1.94, V. Gaubas 1.97. Predicted winner: V. Gaubas, priced at 1.97, trust score 3.5 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 3-6, 4-6. Our best tip: V. Gaubas, priced at 1.97, trust score 3.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:00 Finished 1900
IT A. Pellegrino
LT V. Gaubas
0 2
▾1.94 ▴1.97
2 ▴1.97
3646
2 ▴1.97
3.5
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: C. Tseng against I. Marcondes, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: C. Tseng 1.37, I. Marcondes 3.15. Predicted winner: C. Tseng, priced at 1.37, trust score 7.1 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 6-4. Our best tip: U24.5, priced at 1.47, trust score 7.1 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:00 Finished 1900
TW C. Tseng
BR I. Marcondes
0 2
▾1.37 ▴3.15
1 ▾1.37
6364
U24.5 ▾1.47
7.1
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: E. Moller against F. Passaro, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: E. Moller 2.47, F. Passaro 1.6. Predicted winner: E. Moller, priced at 2.47, trust score 4.9 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 6-3. Our best tip: E. Moller, priced at 2.47, trust score 4.9 of 10. Graded a miss.
19:00 Finished 1900
DK E. Moller
IT F. Passaro
0 2
▴2.47 ▾1.6
1 ▴2.47
7563
1 ▴2.47
4.9
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: J. Faria against N. Jarry, 19:00, Finished. Winner odds: J. Faria 1.85, N. Jarry 2. Predicted winner: J. Faria, priced at 1.85, trust score 1.5 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 7-5, 6-3. Our best tip: J. Faria, priced at 1.85, trust score 1.5 of 10. Graded a hit.
19:00 Finished 1900
PT J. Faria
CL N. Jarry
2 1
▾1.85 ▴2
1 ▾1.85
7563
1 ▾1.85
1.5
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: A. Vallejo against T. Monteiro, 21:05, Finished. Winner odds: A. Vallejo 1.36, T. Monteiro 3.1. Predicted winner: A. Vallejo, priced at 1.36, trust score 8.0 of 10. Graded a miss. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 6-4, 6-3. Our best tip: O18.5, priced at 1.2, trust score 8.1 of 10. Graded a miss.
21:05 Finished 2105
PY A. Vallejo
BR T. Monteiro
0 2
▾1.36 ▴3.1
1 ▾1.36
466463
O18.5 ▾1.2
8.1
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: H. Dellien against D. Lajovic, 21:05, Finished. Winner odds: H. Dellien 1.8, D. Lajovic 2.05. Predicted winner: D. Lajovic, priced at 2.05, trust score 2.5 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 2-6, 6-4, 6-7. Our best tip: O19.5, priced at 1.36, trust score 7.1 of 10. Graded a hit.
21:05 Finished 2105
BO H. Dellien
RS D. Lajovic
1 2
▾1.8 ▴2.05
2 ▴2.05
266467
O19.5 ▴1.36
7.1
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: D. Galan against D. Prižmić, 21:25, Finished. Winner odds: D. Galan 3.2, D. Prižmić 1.36. Predicted winner: D. Prižmić, priced at 1.36, trust score 5.3 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 4-6, 3-6. Our best tip: D. Prižmić, priced at 1.36, trust score 5.3 of 10. Graded a hit.
21:25 Finished 2125
CO D. Galan
HR D. Prižmić
0 2
▾3.2 ▴1.36
2 ▴1.36
4636
2 ▴1.36
5.3
ATP - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Qualifying: T. Barrios Vera against P. B. Dias, 22:10, Finished. Winner odds: T. Barrios Vera 1.35, P. B. Dias 3.25. Predicted winner: T. Barrios Vera, priced at 1.35, trust score 2.8 of 10. Graded a hit. Predicted scoreline: 6-3, 6-4. Our best tip: U24.5, priced at 1.44, trust score 4.8 of 10. Graded a hit.
22:10 Finished 2210
CL T. Barrios Vera
BR P. B. Dias
2 0
▴1.35 ▾3.25
1 ▴1.35
6364
U24.5 ▴1.44
4.8
In the title hunt
1ARF. Cerundolo11%
2ITL. Darderi9%
3BRJ. Fonseca6%
4ARC. Ugo4%
5DED. Altmaier4%
6ART. Etcheverry4%
Clay

Every forecast here leans hardest on how players do on clay.

39
Main draw
Best of three sets
Format

ATP Rio de Janeiro 2026 in numbers

Purse: 1,660,290 USD. Our best tips here: 70% correct from 37 settled matches.

F. Cerundolo, world No. 19, headed a field of 39 players from 19 countries. Defending champion: Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Biggest surprise: I. Marcondes (then No. 350) beating world No. 116 C. Tseng.

No match went longer than T. Etcheverry vs V. Kopřiva, at 36 games. Tiebreaks were everywhere, in 17 of the 37 finished matches (46%).

Common questions

Is ATP Rio de Janeiro a clay, grass or hard-court event?

+

Surface at ATP Rio de Janeiro: Clay. Since conditions change how points are won, the predictions here weigh each player's results on that surface above the overall record.

What is our hit rate at ATP Rio de Janeiro?

+

70.3% of our best tips at ATP Rio de Janeiro have come in, over 37 settled matches. The number updates after every result, so it moves as the event goes on.

What number of ATP Rio de Janeiro matches carry a prediction?

+

37 at ATP Rio de Janeiro so far, each with a winner pick, a predicted set score, a games line and the serve and break-point figures behind them.

What are the dates of ATP Rio de Janeiro?

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Our records place ATP Rio de Janeiro between 14 Feb 2026 and 22 Feb 2026. Dates move a little from one year to the next, and predictions for the new edition appear as soon as its draw is published.

18+ · Forecasts made by AI, for information only · BananaPoint neither takes nor places bets